原文標題:TSMC slows down global plans due to soft demand, but accelerates Arizona fab
plans by six months for A16 / N2 production
原文連結:https://reurl.cc/2Kd8gO
發布時間:2025-6-10
記者署名:Jon Martindale
原文內容:
Recent geopolitical developments and shifts in demand are causing TSMC to
rebalance its investment strategy. The company has responded to growing
pressure from the Trump administration to onshore its manufacturing by
accelerating the construction timelines for its upcoming U.S. fabs by as much
as six months. Conversely, in other parts of the world, a TSMC fab in Japan
is now underperforming, and a second under construction is facing delays. A
contracting German auto sector may slow further TSMC investments in Europe,
according to a report by Digitimes.
However, while U.S. investment from TSMC is certainly ramping up amidst
growing demand for chips, Taiwan remains the company’s heartland, with four
of the current nine under-construction new fabrication plants being based in
the East-Asian territory. This underlines the continued importance of U.S.
strategic initiatives in the region, considering ongoing posturing from the
ruling Chinese party about Taiwanese reunification.
More phases, faster
TSMC has been a prolific fab-plant builder and investor in its global
operations for years, consistently building multiple new chip manufacturing
facilities every year. In 2025, it listed a total of nine new facilities as
under construction (though some began in 2024 and others are actually
starting operation, rather than starting construction).
As part of this initiative, TSMC is investing a further $100 billion in
American fabrication, bringing its total investment into the U.S to a total
of $165 billion, which was announced in Early March. These will come online
over the next few years, allowing for the US-native production of more
advanced process nodes by 2030.
With wafer production prices set to increase dramatically for next-generation
process nodes, local production may help keep costs down for TSMC silicon
customers with thin margins. However, chips produced at Arizona’s Fab 21 are
still expected to command a pricing increase when compared to chips
manufactured in Taiwan, though the exact relative price increase isn’t
entirely clear.
TSMC runs into issues in Europe and Asia
TSMC’s demand-based investment strategy in the U.S. may see an inverse
reflection in other territories, as slowing economies weigh on construction
plans. In Japan, TSMC’s Kumamoto Fab 1 facility is struggling to reach
production targets since coming online, and local infrastructure and “
community impact” have allegedly delayed the construction of its Fab 2
facility. There are rumors, however, that this could be a scapegoat, with
TSMC instead concerned about the long-term profitability of such a facility.
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In Europe, a slowing auto industry and contracting semiconductor market could
mean that TSMC’s facilities there are less attractive for further
investment. The German TSMC fab plant was developed as part of a joint
venture with Bosch, Infineon, and NXP; however, each of these companies has
laid off thousands of workers or announced plans to do so in recent months.
However, that doesn’t mean TSMC is focusing its investments exclusively in
the U.S. Indeed, it’s just announced that a new chip design facility will be
developed in Munich to help its European customers improve their process
technology. However, the company also quashed rumors of a fab based in the
UAE, according to CEO C.C. Wei.
Less reliant, but no less involved
Any time TSMC makes investments outside of Taiwan, it raises the specter of
Chinese reunification. As a long-term goal of the Chinese ruling party, such
a move has the potential to paralyze global silicon and electronic trades,
which could be a reason why the U.S. remains committed to supporting TSMC’s
expansion into Western territories.
However, TSMC’s diversification and the U.S. government’s drive to be less
reliant on Taiwan begs the question of whether this weakens the country’s “
silicon shield”. While TSMC has put effort into expanding global operations,
particularly in the United States, the slow ramp-up of production (even with
the recent investments) means Taiwan will remain crucial to global silicon
supply.
Indeed, Taiwanese independence is more strategically important to the U.S.
and its allies in more ways than just silicon.
As the Indo-Pacific Studies Center said in its April 2025 report: “As the
U.S. reduces reliance on Taiwan’s semiconductors, its defence strategy
remains driven by geopolitical imperatives, Indo-Pacific stability, and
allied trust. Taiwan’s fall would shift the regional power balance and
weaken U.S. credibility with Japan, South Korea, and the Philippines.”
Ultimately, while TSMC’s U.S. fabs will chip away at supplyhain risk,
Taiwan remains and will remain the heart of TSMC investment and global
silicon production for the foreseeable future. But that isn’t stopping the
company from massively expanding its manufacturing facilities elsewhere in
the world, and particularly in America. That will have serious ramifications
for chip supply and pricing in the decades to come.
由於地緣政治變化與1;32晶片需求轉弱,台積電正重新平衡其全球投資布局。儘管日本熊本第
一廠未達產能目標、第二廠建設延遲,德國因汽車業萎縮也使投資趨緩,但在美國的擴張
反而加速。受川普政府要求在地生產的壓力影響,亞利桑那 Fab 21 的 A16/N2 製程廠預
計提前六個月完工,台積電也宣布追加 1000 億美元投資,將對美總投入提升至 1650 億
美元。
不過,台灣依然是台積電的核心生產基地,目前全球九座在建晶圓廠中就有四座位於台灣
。這顯示,儘管美國致力降低對台依賴,但出於地緣戰略與區域穩定的考量,台灣對全球
半導體供應鏈的重要性短期內仍無可取代。
報導最後指出,美國擴產雖可降低供應鏈風險,但速度仍不及預期;台灣在未來可見的時
間內,仍將是台積電的心臟與全球晶片產能的關鍵樞紐。
心得/評論:
台積電全球擴張踩煞車
熊本二廠卡關
德國廠也說要2027才能量產
結果美積電卻能提前半年蓋好?
川又贏??
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 218.32.44.219 (臺灣)
※ 文章網址: https://webptt.cc/bbs/Stock/M.1749646964.A.062.html
推文 (42)
推
TCB006
知道半導體關稅 談崩了,威脅川普了
06/11 21:03
→
chongwen
所以 歐積電,還要蓋嗎
06/11 21:05
→
kitsune50
求蓋拉積電
06/11 21:06
推
carkyoing
蓋個殼有多難?機台2028移入
06/11 21:06
推
qk3380888
最貴的最先蓋
06/11 21:09
→
pns215
不相信台積電股東會說的,要相信這種亂報跟猜測的?
06/11 21:12
推
macetyl
開始放鬼故事了
06/11 21:13
推
KRV5566
鬼故事來嘍
06/11 21:17
噓
lise1017
1.Intel合併 2.中東設廠 3.需求趨緩 => 200*3=600萬
06/11 21:18
→
lise1017
政府可以開罰單了吧 有政府沒做事
06/11 21:18
→
Gipmydanger
信你還不如信秦始皇
06/11 21:20
→
ajkofqq
???? CCW????
06/11 21:22
→
jyan97
日德主要是汽車晶片,美國是先進製程
06/11 21:23
→
jyan97
汽車弱ai強,兩個不衝突
06/11 21:24
推
stosto
AI續強阿,不影響
06/11 21:32
→
SabreN
笑死,一堆一張都買不起的垃圾酸民又在對台積電下
06/11 21:44
→
SabreN
指導棋了
06/11 21:44
推
nidhogg
熊本是成熟的特殊製程吧,若日本汽車跟感光元件市況
06/11 21:54
→
nidhogg
不好或前景有疑慮,放緩合理
06/11 21:54
→
nidhogg
現在就是AI AI AI
06/11 21:55
推
sim3000
那邊需求高就蓋哪邊 合理 美國請加價購 謝謝
06/11 22:01
推
luke0407123
不要再亂看報導了 也不會賺到錢 相信CCW已經賺爛
06/11 22:01
→
blueseason
門都沒有
06/11 22:09
噓
ifuxxyou
亂空tsm被嘎了齁
06/11 22:14
推
FatSucks
所以只有先進製程需求滿載,非先進製程放緩
06/11 22:15
推
zephyr105
鬼故事~
06/11 22:17
推
karta018
內文只有寫擴張放緩,沒寫需求疲軟啊,兩個不一樣欸
06/11 22:33
推
sid3
產險移轉 不會缺電了
06/11 22:35
→
isu0911
蓋廠成本比較好估算吧
06/11 22:53
推
fay001
繼續假消息繼續酸,股價都告訴你答案了
06/11 22:56
推
delightboy
之前有新聞魏說熊本交通嚴重壅塞,所以延後開工
06/11 22:59
→
features
訊號來了哦
06/11 23:00
→
EFAFG
GG只服cc魏的消息
06/11 23:06
推
happytiger
美國場派了多少南科員工跟協力廠商過去你知道嗎
06/11 23:07
推
focoket12
在美國擴張反而加速,然後全球萎縮
06/11 23:14
推
lusifa2007
CC已經說日本是交通問題 當地人抗議才放慢好嗎
06/11 23:49
推
eriker
就工期延宕開始瞎猜吧 日本二廠股東會已經澄清了
06/12 00:01
推
glasseater
這什麼美吹新聞…
06/12 06:52
→
searchroy
美國廠全力建廠,其他放緩。
06/12 09:52
噓
mojeboy
看WCC做了什麼,比你看一堆沒用消息好。
06/12 12:22
噓
Automatic620
台灣真的很用力舔川腳
06/12 17:21
→
southes
傳聞一堆
06/12 17:34