Aside the relaxation of US sanctions on Iranian oil, for Tehran the big win is the fact that >20 days into the war, it’s still exporting oil via Hormuz. At ~1.5m b/d (and assuming $85 a barrel) that’s a ~$2.5 billion windfall since the war started. And the $$$ keeps going up. I don’t believe Tehran ever thought that would be a possibility when it war gamed any conflict with the US and/or Israel. Surely they assumed that if they closed the strait for others, it would be closed for them, too. https://x.com/JavierBlas/status/2035624268063547429 除了美國放鬆對伊朗石油的制裁之外，對德黑蘭而言，最大的勝利在於戰爭爆發20多天後 ，伊朗仍能透過霍爾木茲海峽出口石油。假設初始產量約為150萬桶，且油價為每桶 85美元，那麼自戰爭開始以來，伊朗已經獲得了約25億美元的意外之財。而且，油價還在 不斷攀升。 我不認為德黑蘭在與美國和/或以色列進行戰爭推演時會想到這種情況。他們肯定認為， 如果他們封鎖了海峽，那麼他們自己也會被封鎖。 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 223.200.122.19 (臺灣) ※ 文章網址: https://webptt.cc/bbs/Gossiping/M.1774231619.A.704.html