Robert Murray寫的報導 全文：https://bit.ly/3Rm49lm 報導中段有請三位球團高層分析Skubal交易 What do MLB executives think the Tigers can get for Tarik Sukbal? 大聯盟球隊高層怎麼看老虎隊交易Sukbal的回報？ Executive 1: “I don’t think anyone can answer that. I don’t think we have eve r seen a pitcher this good coming off such a bizarre injury. He’s playing for a team that is trying to win themselves, so there are so many factors at play. If I had to answer, I’d say one top-100 prospect plus a top-15 and one more throw in.” I asked if he would do it. “The Padres will,” he responded. 高層1： 「我認為沒人能真正回答這個問題。我們可能從未看過一位這麼頂級的投手，同時剛經歷這 麼特殊的傷勢，而他效力的球隊也還想贏球，牽涉的因素實在太多了。硬要我回答的話，我 會說至少是一位百大新秀，加上一位農場前15名的新秀，再加一個配菜。」 記者問到他自己會不會做這筆交易時 他回答：「教士隊會。」 Executive 2: “It would have to be a [Dave] Dombrowski or [AJ] Preller to get a top prospect. Everyone else treats it like Wall Street and asset value so my gue ss is a couple of top 10 prospects for a couple months of him. Or [Andrew] Fried man could go out and get him. He ups a team's chances to win the World Series by a pretty big margin. You get two starts in that five-game series. Friedman gets him, that’s my prediction.” 高層2： 「這得要像Dave Dombrowski或AJ Preller那樣的總管，才會願意拿頂級新秀出來換。其他 人大多都像華爾街一樣評估資產價值，所以我猜大概是幾位隊內前10名的新秀去換他兩個月 的使用權。或者Andrew Friedman也可能出手，Skubal能大幅提升球隊奪冠的機率。在五戰 三勝系列賽裡，你能讓他先發兩場。我預測 Friedman會把他交易過去。」 Executive 3: “It’s so difficult to tell but I think it would start at one top- 50 and another top-100 prospect. If it was a top-10 prospect in the game maybe i t could be that plus a fringe top-100 guy also (plus probably 1-2 throw-in types . In scouting terms we would say probably two ‘B1’ Grade prospects as a start and then a couple ‘C’ grades also. “Skubal is tough though as a two month rental with injury risk because it’s to ugh for a team to just come up with the close to $12-14 million he will be owed after a trade that isn’t budgeted for. Teams don’t typically have a bunch of e xtra cash laying around midseason so it takes an ownership group willing to find extra cash. If the Tigers pay down the salary the return could be better.” 高層3： 「真的很難判斷，但我認為起碼會從一位百大前50，再加一位百大新秀開始談。如果出 的是聯盟前十等級的新秀，那可能再搭配一位接近百大的新秀就夠了（也許再多加配菜型的 球員）。在球探術語中，我們會說也許兩個B1等級的新秀起跳，然後再附加一些C級新人。 不過Skubal的情況很棘手，因為他只是兩個月的租借球員，而且還有傷病風險。另一個問題 是交易後球隊還得額外負擔大約1200 萬到1400 萬美元薪資，這筆錢不會列入季中的預算。 球隊通常不會在季中突然有一大筆現金，所以需要老闆點頭額外掏錢。如果老虎願意分攤部 分薪資，回報可能會更好。」 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 114.39.2.40 (臺灣) ※ 文章網址: https://webptt.cc/bbs/Baseball/M.1779493136.A.0A2.html ※ 編輯: polanco (114.39.2.40 臺灣), 05/23/2026 07:52:27